PROTOTYPE / V3 · Editorial · Source Serif + Inter + JetBrains Mono · "Am I winning my market?"
RevPar Pro — Compsets / DFWDL
Compset Performance Brief · Issue No. 142

Home2 Suites by Hilton Lewisville Dallas

An owner's read on competitive position in the Dallas-Lewisville market
122 KEYS · BUILT 2020 · STR 67831 · COMPSET DFWDL · 7 PEERS
§ 1 · The Verdict

Above market, but the lead is narrowing.

Home2 Lewisville is holding pace — RGI 123.2, ranked #1 of 7, but trending down −3.5 points versus the trailing-three-month average.

● Comp set fit Good 6 peers within 1.7 mi Through Mar 2026 STR released ~2026-04-17 Rank ▲ from #2 last month

The property has held the top of its compset throughout the trailing twelve months, posting RGI between 119 and 130 every period since June 2025. March's reading is still firmly above 100 — comfortably winning — yet the headline obscures a meaningful detail: the comp set is closing the gap. SpringHill, Hampton, and La Quinta each posted year-over-year RevPAR gains of 37–38% in March, while Home2's own gain was 33%. The lead is real, but no longer growing.

"When peers' rate movement starts to compress your index, the question stops being am I winning and starts being do I need to defend."

§ 2 · Twelve-month trajectory

The three indices, visualized.

An index value of 100 represents fair share of the market. Above the line is winning; below is losing. The bold line is RGI — the rolled-up verdict; the thinner lines are its components.

RGI MPI · fill ARI · rate Index 100 (fair share)
§ 3 · Diagnosis

Where the gap is.

RGI = ARI × MPI / 100. The headline index decomposes into rate and fill. The bigger the gap from 100, the bigger the lever.

RGI · headline 123.2 −3.5 vs T3M
0100 fair200
ARI · rate component $115.58 vs $109.31 105.7

+5.7 pts above the comp set average — a modest, defensible rate premium.

MPI · fill component 84.1% vs 72.2% 116.5

+11.9 pts above the comp set average — fill is the dominant driver of the verdict.

Both components remain above market. The fill premium (MPI 116.5) is the bigger lever; the rate premium (ARI 105.7) is sustainable. The recent T3M cooldown reflects comp set rates catching up rather than a Home2 problem.

§ 4 · Causation — what moved this period

The compset is consolidating up.

Holiday Inn Express climbed four ranks on a sharp positive RevPAR move (~$77 versus ~$60 in the prior period).

Fairfield and TownePlace each dropped two ranks. The middle of the compset is reshuffling; the upper tier is adding distance from the lower tier.

Home2 held the top spot, but the consolidating upper tier is what's compressing the verdict — RGI down three points versus T3M, even as rank improved one place.

Note: per-peer estimates derive from Texas hotel tax receipts (quarterly cadence). STR Destination peer-level rate detail is not yet exposed in RPP.

§ 5 · The compset · ranked by estimated RevPAR

Seven hotels, March 2026.

# Hotel Built Mi Keys Est. RevPAR YoY Δ Rank

Estimated RevPAR derived from Texas tax receipts ÷ rooms ÷ days. Quarterly cadence; values approximate.

§ 6 · This week's move

Hold rate. Modest weekday flex if peers continue.

Home2 should hold its current rate strategy and watch the comp set's next reading carefully.

The property is winning at both rate and fill, and rank improved month-over-month. T3M momentum, however, has cooled — RGI 126 a quarter ago to 123 in March — because comp set rates rose roughly 5% in March. If peers continue pushing rate and Home2 holds, the ARI lead will narrow further. No change is needed yet, but if the April STR release shows ARI below 103, drop weekday rates by $3–4 to defend the occupancy lead.

Evidence ▼
Subject ADR Mar: $115.58 · comp set $109.31
Subject occupancy Mar: 84.08% · comp set 72.18% · +11.9 pts
Subject RevPAR Mar: $97.19 · comp set $78.90 · +23%
RGI: 123.2 · T3M 126.6 · trend −3.5 pts
Compset YoY RPR: SpringHill +37% · Hampton +38% · La Quinta +38% · upper tier consolidating

Sourced from compset_metrics (period 2026-03) and hotel_tax_receipts.